
Introduction
The Indian stock market in 2024 is witnessing a paradigm shift. While large-cap indices like the Nifty 50 and Sensex have posted modest single-digit returns, mid and small-cap funds are delivering stellar performance. Investors, both seasoned and new, are asking—what’s driving this trend? From earnings acceleration to macroeconomic catalysts, several factors explain this shift. Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of why mid and small-cap funds are outperforming large caps in 2024.
The Indian stock market in 2024 is witnessing a paradigm shift. While large-cap indices like the Nifty 50 and Sensex have posted modest single-digit returns, mid and small-cap funds are delivering stellar performance. Investors, both seasoned and new, are asking—what’s driving this trend? From earnings acceleration to macroeconomic catalysts, several factors explain this shift. Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of why mid and small-cap funds are outperforming large caps in 2024.
Understanding the 2024 Market Landscape
In 2024, the Nifty Midcap 150 index surged over 20% YTD, and the Nifty Smallcap 250 has delivered returns upwards of 25%. In contrast, the Nifty 50 has offered just 7%–10% returns. This outperformance isn’t random—it reflects deeper market dynamics favoring smaller companies with higher growth potential.
Historical Performance Patterns of Market Caps
Large-cap stocks traditionally offer stability, making them the preferred choice during uncertain times. However, mid and small cap stocks have consistently outperformed during bullish and expansionary phases. The 2014–2017 period, followed by a correction from 2018–2020, is a textbook case of cyclical behavior in Indian equities.
Mean Reversion and Valuation Cycles
Mid and small caps had been under pressure for several years. Valuations were compressed, balance sheets were cleaned up, and operating leverage improved. This created a classic mean reversion opportunity as earnings visibility returned and sentiment shifted.
Macroeconomic Tailwinds Favoring Smaller Companies
Interest Rate Stability Boosts Risk Appetite
With the RBI keeping the repo rate steady at 6.5% and global central banks turning dovish, liquidity has found its way into riskier asset classes. Mid and small caps, being more sensitive to interest rates and capital flows, have benefited disproportionately.
Domestic Capex and Infrastructure Spending
India’s capital expenditure cycle is on an upswing. The Union Budget 2024 emphasized infrastructure development, logistics, railways, and rural housing—sectors where many small and mid cap companies operate. This has lifted earnings across the board.
Demand from Tier II and III Cities
Consumption patterns are changing. Smaller cities and rural areas are emerging as significant demand centers. Companies catering to these geographies—often listed in the small and mid cap space—are experiencing robust growth.
Robust Earnings Growth Driving Re-Rating
Small and Mid-Cap Companies Showing Strong Earnings Momentum
According to Motilal Oswal, mid cap companies are expected to deliver 18% CAGR in profits over FY24–FY26, compared to just 11% for large caps. This delta in growth has made mid and small caps attractive from a fundamental standpoint.
Sectoral Leadership in Niche Segments
Segments like renewables, specialty chemicals, precision engineering, and affordable housing are dominated by mid and small caps. Companies like KPIT Technologies, Aarti Drugs, and Apar Industries have reported strong quarters, reinforcing investor confidence.
Valuation Reset and Re-Rating Trends
Correction Phase of 2022–2023: Set the Stage
The sharp correction in 2022 flushed out excesses in the small and mid-cap segments. Valuations came down to realistic levels, allowing long-term investors to enter at attractive prices.
Forward Re-Rating Based on Fundamentals
As earnings outlook improved and corporate governance standards rose, the markets began to re-rate high-quality mid and small cap stocks. This is evident in expanding P/E multiples and increased institutional coverage.
Capital Flow Dynamics: Retail and Institutional Interest
Rise of SIPs and Retail Investors in Small and Mid-Cap Funds
Monthly SIP inflows have crossed ₹20,000 crore, with a noticeable tilt toward small and mid-cap categories. Platforms like Zerodha and Groww have made it easier for retail investors to diversify beyond large caps.
Mutual Funds Realigning Allocations
Fund houses are steadily increasing their mid and small cap allocations in multi-cap and flexi-cap portfolios. This has added structural demand and stability to the broader market.
Government Policies and Sectoral Incentives
MSME and PLI Scheme Benefits
The government’s support for MSMEs and the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes has unlocked new revenue streams for mid and small cap manufacturers, especially in electronics, textiles, and auto components.
Focus on Domestic Manufacturing
‘Make in India’ and other reforms have revitalized manufacturing and ancillary sectors. Companies like JBM Auto, KEI Industries, and Dixon Technologies are capitalizing on this shift.
Case Studies of High-Performing Funds
Quant Mid Cap Fund and Motilal Oswal Midcap 30
Quant Mid Cap Fund has clocked over 35% returns YTD with a focused portfolio of industrial and infrastructure-related companies. Motilal Oswal Midcap 30 has also outperformed by identifying consistent compounders like Tube Investments.
Nippon India Small Cap Fund and SBI Small Cap Fund
Nippon India Small Cap Fund has benefited from early positioning in real estate and chemicals. SBI Small Cap Fund has shown strong stock-picking discipline, leading to alpha generation in industrials and consumer durables.
Risks and Considerations
Overvaluation Concerns in Select Pockets
The Price-to-Earnings ratio of some small caps has crossed 40x, indicating froth in certain sectors. Investors should exercise caution and avoid chasing momentum blindly.
Liquidity and Exit Risk
Small caps often suffer from poor liquidity and wider bid-ask spreads. Sudden market corrections can lead to exaggerated drawdowns, particularly for retail investors.
The Need for Active Management
Given the volatility and complexity, investing in small and mid-cap funds requires strong fund management. Active stock selection and risk management are key to sustained performance.
Conclusion: Should You Invest in Mid and Small Cap Funds in 2024?
The current market cycle, supported by macro stability, corporate earnings growth, and policy tailwinds, favors mid and small cap funds. However, timing and discipline are essential. For investors with a medium to long-term horizon and a risk appetite to match, allocating a portion of the portfolio to these segments via SIPs or diversified funds can be highly rewarding.
For best results, consult a financial advisor and focus on funds with a strong track record, seasoned fund managers, and consistent risk-adjusted returns.